WhichBookie racing analyst Andrew Blair White provides a preview and betting tips for races at Tipperary today.
Date of Tips: 28/07/2020
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (08:23 28/07/2020) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
The first day at Glorious Goodwood and second day over at Galway featured a number of horses that I liked, but before any suggestion could be made, swift cramping of their odds meant that it was perhaps prudent to hold fire.
As for the second day at the lovely Sussex venue, the highlight seems sure to be a Sussex Stakes that could live long in the memory – for it brings together a very good group of milers. It’s a race to savour with no financial interest I’d suggest.
The opening race on day two features two fillies who were huge eyecatchers on their last starts, in the shape of Dean Street Doll (who represents the red-hot stable of David Menuisier), and Waliyak, who was second in the Sandringham Handicap at Royal Ascot when drawn away from the action. At the time of writing, the race at 1.15 hasn’t been priced up, but if you can get 4/1 or bigger about both, then they are worth backing for sure.
In terms of a bet, there is a good one to be had in the next race on the card at 1.45 – the 2m4½f Unibet You’re On Goodwood Handicap. Roger Charlton’s True Destiny was third in the race last year, and is a good each-way bet at 6/1 with William Hill to go a couple better this time around.
True Destiny has had two starts so far in 2020, and both smacked of promise of much more to come when granted with a real stamina test and a true pace to aim at. He got neither at Kempton and Newbury, but it was the Newbury run that really knocked the eye out, as he was the only horse to make up any significant ground from off the pace. As a five-year-old stayer, he is coming into his peak, and everything looks ripe for a career best performance from him.
Over at Galway, we have the first day of all jumps action, and the feature is of course the Galway Plate at 6.45. Having already suggested backing Galvin at 8/1, it is no surprise to see him into as short as 5/1 having been declared with Davy Russell on board.
But having seen the confirmed runners and riders, I do think we should have another arrow at the board, in the shape of Galway Hurdle-winning trainer Joseph O’Brien’s Early Doors – who at 8/1 with William Hill and Skybet, has the look of a horse very much lined up for this for his leading connections. Already with a glittering CV, Joseph O’Brien has a good chance of adding a Plate win to his list of achievements.
A Cheltenham Festival winner in 2019, when triumphing in the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle off a hurdle mark of 145. A stop/start chase campaign has meant that he enters this valuable contest with an official handicap mark of 139 over fences. With Mark Walsh enlisted as rider, and the cheekpieces on first time, he looks ready to run for his life in the most valuable contest he will have competed in. Of course, the horse doesn’t know that, but it’s evidently certain that his trainer and owner will!
With horses like this, sometimes the lower chase mark is warranted as they simply haven’t taken to the larger obstacles. In the case of Early Doors, this definitely isn’t the case. He has just been campaigned in a fashion that has allowed all the ducks to fall in line.