WhichBookie racing analyst Andrew Blair White provides a preview and betting tips for races at Tipperary today.
Date of Tips: 02/04/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (08:40 02/04/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Hot on the heels of the ‘Northern Lights Series Finals’ and the ‘Go North’ weekend last weekend, this Easter Saturday we have the ‘Challenger Series Finals’ at Haydock, where ‘middle of the range’ horses and connections thereof get the chance to run for decent prize money again. In the current climate and clamour for better prize money across the board, these series’ are shining beacons, and as such have attracted some competitive fields on Saturday.
I know this is supposed to be a daily selection, but Good Friday’s exclusively all-weather action, while of the highest quality at Lingfield in particular, is not my usual area of knowledge, so today’s daily play comes in the form of an early investment at one the big races at Haydock tomorrow.
The Haydock 3.15 is the ‘Betway Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final’, and has an open look to it, with a big field of 17 going to post, but I’m hoping current favourite Small Present turns a fiendish-looking puzzle into a romp for the Sue Smith-trained runner. At 9/2 with Sky Bet, we are squeezing the value angle to the very pips of the core, but as that firm are offering 6 places for each-way bets, it is a solid bet in my eyes.
Often a profitable angle is to catch when previously out-of-form stables are about to, or are in the process of, shifting themselves from the cold list to the hot list. We are firmly in the hindsight when it comes to beating that angle, as Sue Smith’s horse have been in much better form for two or three weeks now, compared to most of the winter.
However, Small Present has been one of the outliers to the poor winter stable form however, and shows no signs of those exertions having a negative effect. In fact, quite the contrary, as his last two starts have been winning ones – defying unsuitable heavy ground at Catterick, before pulling miles clear with a rejuvenated and classy Skandiburg at Doncaster four weeks ago. The third home that day Getareason, beaten 23 lengths, has since given the form a nice boost by fighting out the finish of a good race at Newcastle.
At 9/2 with Sky Bet, Small Present is one that could potentially be a better price at some stage in the run up to the race, but it is very much worth alerting to the fact that Sky Bet are offering 6 places, and Sue Smith’s likeable stayer is worth supporting for the Haydock 3.15 on Saturday.