Horse Racing

Punchestown Friday 30th April

Thursday 29th April 16:15

WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and betting tips for the 16.15 at Punchestown on Friday 30th April

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Bookie Selection Best Odds Market Bet
Dostal Phil 15/2 E/W
Punchestown 16.15
Place Bet

Date of Tips: 29/04/2021

Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (19:27 29/04/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.

It’s been one of those weeks up until now I’m afraid, with plenty of horses I had considered recommending going on to win and plenty that I have put up, have not! To put the cherry on the cake, a Willie Mullins-trained one-time classy two-mile hurdler won the Champion Stayers Hurdle on Thursday – just it wasn’t Saldier.

Klassical Dream could not have been any more impressive, and the only thing that was more awe-inspiring than his smooth-travelling romp, was the feat of training to get this horse in this kind of form off 400+ days off the track. Oh, and to back him from 20/1 to 5/1! Simply extraordinary on any number of fronts.

On to Friday, and the penultimate chance to notch up some winners, and it is the EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase at 4.15 that I think features the bet of the day. Dostal Phil is available at 15/2 each-way generally for five places, and should be backed at those odds to improve for the step up in trip to 2m5f.

Philip Hobbs’ novice chaser has been a model of consistency this season, and when met with the soundest surface he had encountered all season, in the Red Rum Handicap Chase at Aintree, he was the only horse to make up any significant ground from off the pace.

In the end, he finished a close up third to the all-the-way winner Editeur Du Gite, and Thursday’s Punchestown scorer Sully D’oc AA. Hobbs has a noteworthy record with his Punchestown raiders, operating at a strike-rate of 20% from 66 runners at the County Kildare track.

In particular, it should be noted that he does very well with horses owned by JP McManus too. As the leading owner has had a good week so far, and they have booked Simon Torrens, who has ridden two winners already in the week, it all points to a big run from Dostal Phil. At 15/2 five places each-way generally, he has a cracking chance at a track and on ground that will suit.

Willie Mullins has won this race three times out of the last four renewals with top-weights. He bids to make that four from five with Asterion Forlonge, and he is very much the main danger to Dostal Phil, but can make the odd jumping blemish, whereas (touch wood) until now Dostal Phil has been good in that department.

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