WhichBookie racing analyst Andrew Blair White provides a preview and betting tips for races at Listowel and Warwick today.
Date of Tips: 03/06/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (09:24 03/06/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Yesterday was a disappointing day at the Curragh. Unfortunately, the forecast rain for Lustown Baba didn’t materialise and even though there was some good market support, she ran well below herself. I think it’s fair to put a line through that run and hopefully, she can return to her best later in the year.
It was also a case of frustration as the next best, Patrick Sarsfield, was so cruelly denied on the line in the listed event. As much as it was extremely unfortunate yesterday, he is a horse to well and truly keep the right side of this year. Patrick Sarsfield has a very likeable attitude and with that run under his belt, he should go close next time out.
I am hoping a return to Jumps Racing today may well spring a good run out of the fire, and I am choosing to head to Uttoxeter for today’s selection. Tomorrow’s card is good competitive action for midweek racing and features a very intriguing maiden hurdle at 2.55.
My selection is from the Fergal O’Brien stable, who yet again are in brilliant form to start this season off. He saddles Butte Montana here, who comes here as a fascinating contender having had almost half a year off. Having made a promising start to his career in bumpers, his hurdles form leaves a bit to be desired.
Butte Montana made his debut at Cheltenham in October 2019 in a bumper. He was very well backed that day and ran a superb race, just coming up short to Time Flies By. That was a performance of some substance and made connections try their luck in a Listed bumper on his second start. He disappointed slightly that day when finishing 7th of 8th behind Israel Champ.
Last year he returned in a hot contest at Aintree, when yet again being well backed into 13/2 before the off. He was poor again that day, just beating the one home. However, that was a strong race and he was beaten too far out for this to be his proper running. He also struggled with his jumping in the early parts of that race. He then went onto Cheltenham, when again well beaten in a six runner race won by Make Me A Believer. That was disappointing and it was of no surprise to see connections give Butte Montana some time off since then.
Today’s race represents a significant drop in class. Chasamax sets the standard for Nicky Henderson, with his stable in very good form this summer so far. He is rated 117, which sets a fair standard but he is by no means a certainty – considering he is a 11 race maiden coming into this. At a price of 6/4 I think he is worth taking on. Dynamite Kentucky also has a decent chance in this but came up short to a stablemate of the selection, so I would like to hope that connections have a good read on the form.
Butte Montana is currently best priced 9/2 with Bet365, which I think is a more than fair price and if he were to return to the form of his first run, he should be right there at the business end of this maiden hurdle. Best of luck.