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Djelo
King George VI Chase - Kempton Park - 26 Dec 2025
33/1
Hindsight is a wonderful thing, and it’ll probably be relevant following the two 5f races that open Chester’s May meeting today.
As historically, a draw tight to the inside rail and scraping the paint all the way round has been hugely beneficial, but in the last season or so there has been a shift. Perhaps this is due to various elements of track maintenance, but what won’t be clear is what the situation is until after these early races.
However, with the odds-on favourite Ali Shuffle drawn in stall 1, it’ll either be boom or bust for favourite backers in the opening CAA Stellar Lily Agnes EBF Conditions Stakes at 1.30 at Chester. Given it might be that they don’t see which way the form pick went, if stall 1 reverts to type, it might be best to look in the ‘without favourite’ market’ as I think there are two horses that probably should be shorter than they are.
At a general 11/2 each-way in that ‘without Ali Shuffle’ market and for 3 places (assuming the current 9 all run), Arduis Invicta is worthy a small 1-star * Daily Value bet for WhichBookie followers.
In finishing a close second to Kevin Ryan’s speedy Tropical Dream, it’s possible that Arduis Invicta has achieved as much on her debut as the likes of Ardisia, Social Exclusion and Miss Piggle have in their respective wins.
Similar comments apply to Exclamation, who should be backed as another 1-star * selection at 15/2 each-way with Bet365 for 3 places in the same ‘without Ali Shuffle’ market.
Exclamation was an eye-catching 3rd in the Brocklesby, when having to be switched to cover a lot more ground to chase where the pace/better ground was. He then backed that up with another really creditable run in a warm Newmarket novice event, won by a smart looking Godolphin newcomer.
Drawn in stalls 4 and 2 respectively, hopefully they allow Arduis Invicta and Exclamation to be close enough to the inside, but without being tied to it should the better ground end up being wider.
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