WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and two each-way selections for the sponsored card at Fontwell Park on Wednesday 20th October
Date of Tips: 04/08/2020
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (15:36 04/08/2020) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
For weeks now, it feels like there has been Group racing and/or Festivals thrown at us from every angle – and this coming weekend is probably the first slight lull in the post-lockdown season. For some, this will represent a time to take stock and plot ahead for the remainder of the season, but in terms of betting opportunities, it could prove fruitful, as there any number of competitive handicaps in store.
For horses that have been running in well contested, sought after races, this weekend could present a winning opportunity – and one such example comes at Ascot on Saturday, in the Sandhurst Handicap over the straight 1m at 2.25.
Kasbaan has been a decent money spinner for connections since joining the Mick Appleby yard in July 2019, and he can land them another decent prize, at generous odds of 12/1 with 888Sport, who also offer four places each-way.
Securing the 12/1 and four places now looks a very sensible option, as there are only a handful of the 21 entries that don’t have other options over the course of the weekend.
A winner of his first two starts for Appleby at this trip on the all-weather, he went on to contest Listed races towards the end of last season over further, acquitting himself well. So far this summer he has had three starts, and all have come on turf, a surface which he was until now unproven on. These three runs have quickly dispelled any notion that he was just an all-weather horse, as he has run credibly on all three occasions.
His seasonal debut came at Newmarket when third behind the progressive Arigato, when not getting a run until late, and making up significant ground wide and away from the rail – two factors that proved very tricky that day. Kasbaan then ran in the fiendishly competitive Bunbury Cup, also at Newmarket, when maybe just going a tad too fast on the front-end and paying for those exertions late on, when those ridden just off the pace or in rear came through.
Then last time out, at Ascot over 7f in the International Stakes, he ran an absolute belter from an unfavourable draw to finish sixth to Blue Mist. Kasbaan was drawn 5 two weeks ago in a race when the first five home came from stalls 19, 18, 20, 12, 17 – while the seventh home came from stall 14 for good measure.
He was strong at the finish that day, suggesting that the step back up to his last winning trip of 1m will suit this Saturday. While also, he holds no other entries, and this looks a much weaker race than he has been contesting this season. Everything looks ripe for a big run, assuming he gets a little bit of luck with the draw, which can sometime scupper chances at Ascot.
But it seems as if it will be a small enough field for it not to be too much of a hindrance either way, and if I were to pinpoint dangers right now, they would the likes of Salayel, Shelir and Red Bond – who all have good recent Ascot form.
But none make quite the same appeal as Kasbaan at 12/1, and at this stage rates as the only ante-post bet of the week.