WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an ante-post each-way selection for the Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket on Saturday 25th September.
|Emir De Rots||12/1||Each Way
|Loudest Whisper||12/1||Each Way
Date of Tips: 25/08/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (10:27 25/08/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Bellewstown is one of those great summer courses in Ireland that is a delight to visit. Being a tight track, every blade of grass is a good vantage point for those looking to bask in any late summer heat and watch some competitive action. The only drawback of the venue is how hard the meetings are to select winners. It can be a puzzle at times, which was indicated by yesterday’s card – but hopefully the return to jump racing can restore some parity in that situation.
Starting with the opening contest on the card at 4.10, which is a claiming hurdle over 2m4f. These races are often trickier than you think to win and plenty of decent types are vying for victory here. Coulances heads the betting for Gavin Cromwell, and must have a decent chance based on his second at Clonmel a few months ago. War God, who is second in, came very close to landing a similar contest last time out. However, he got done on the line by a horse called Emir De Rots, who opposes him again here and is a ridiculous price in comparison to the second favorite. Paul Nolan’s horse has largely been consistent this summer and got a breakthrough win in this sphere two starts back before a solid effort over fences at Tipperary. He returns to this claiming hurdle with a big chance in my book, and the 12/1 available with SkyBet, who offer 4 places each way – seems too big to turn down.
There are two types of punters in my view, the cut-throat punter and the forgiving punter. I can vary between the two, and have often got my rewards when sticking by a horse when others would have turned away. Cappucimix winning at Killarney earlier this summer was a great example of trusting a horse to finally go and do the business. I am adopting similar views in the 5.45, where I’ll be taking another chance on Goatitagain, for Tom Coyle and Conor Orr – who has shaped with considerable promise in her last two starts. There are a few things to put you off, as she doesn’t seem to be improving with her jumping and she does need to be ridden for luck. However, she is undoubtedly well handicapped off a mark of 91 and you can get an equally juicy each way price about her. Given she has promised to run a big race for a while now, I think taking 33/1 with Paddy Power for 5 places each way, is justifiable.
The 6.15 at Bellewstown, run for the Mullacurry Cup, is the feature race on the card and has attracted a good field 16 to the table. I am going to take a chance on a horse that enjoys running this track, and it’s the progressive Loudest Whisper for the combination of Delany and Gainford. Loudest Whisper won at this track two starts back over 3 miles in convincing style and backed that up with a good effort at Galway over a trip which is less than her optimum. That should have put her right for this contest, with this race more up her alley and one that she can play a big part in. I don’t believe she is done improving and as a result, she shouldn’t be handicapped out of things off a mark of 104. I am hoping that a price of 12/1 with Bet365, who pay out 4 places, to be a good each way bet.