WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an ante-post each-way selection for the Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket on Saturday 25th September.
|Razzle Dazzle||6/1||Each Way
|Loudest Whisper||10/1||Each Way
Date of Tips: 09/09/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (22:23 09/09/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
A bumper Friday card awaits us at Doncaster as they encounter Day three of four of their St Leger meeting alongside a typically competitive jumps card at Ballinrobe make for a busy Friday for us. There have been very few big days selection wise on this blog for a while now, and I can’t wait to be following the action throughout the day tomorrow.
The 1.10 race is an interesting maiden to start off the card over 7 furlongs. There is a line of form that I want to take forward into tomorrow – and it starts in this race. Plenty of these have horses have not run yet or have had only one start. Instead, I want to take a chance on a horse who has some form in the book and after two promising starts, it might be a decent chance for the progressive Unilateralism, who now will be looking to get off the mark. Despite being gelded before his first run, he looks the type to keep progressing with each run and the draw of 15 shouldn’t be an inconvenience given that a lot of action will come through the middle of the track or on the near side rail. Skybet are offering a generous 4 places for a maiden, and at a price of 8/1 – I’ll be backing each way.
The next race is the 1.40 Flying Scotsman Stakes over 7 furlongs, and this is where the cross form line from the first race comes to play. Considering I’m backing Unilateralism in the first, it would be remiss of me not to back Razzle Dazzle in this race. Having gone very close at Newmarket on his first start, he bounded in on second start and recorded a good RPR of 94 for a maiden win. Andrea Atzeni rides this track so well and this horse has any amount of ability under the bonnet – which is quite frightening. Plenty in this race have an unexposed profile – but this horse tops the lot. With Betfair being the outlier who offer 4 places again this time round, I’ll be backing Razzle Dazzle each way at 6/1.
The final race to cover at Doncaster is the 4.20 race – which is a fillies handicap over the intermediate trip of 1m4f. Sometimes it’s easy to overcomplicate these sorts of handicaps – but on this occasion, I will be siding with Thousand Oaks. Having come up short in two maidens, she got the job done on the third occasion in a small five runner race. That race has ended up producing a few winners, so this filly looks like she might be better occasion than an opening mark of 88 would suggest. Taking that in mind, she might well make it two wins in a row – and at a price of 15/8 with Bet365, I’ll be backing her.
Moving onto the card at Ballinrobe, which is a good jumps card. The 5.30 race is a mares handicap hurdle over 2m6f. I will be going to the well with a horse I have backed before on this page, and she ran a cracker at Bellewstown. That horse is Loudest Whisper, who runs again for Jordan Gainford and has only been raised a pound for that effort, which seems quite lenient. This looks a good race and is the feature race on the card – so it will be competitve and it will take a lifetime best for this horse to win, but she is a solid option and often runs a big race. Having won a few starts back over 3m, she should be well suited by this step back up in trip. At a price of 10/1 with Coral, who offer 4 places, she is another each way selection.
The final selection on the day comes in the 6.00 at Ballinrobe, which is a staying beginners chase over 2m7f. One of my favourites runs in this race and should take all the beating in this contest. Russian Diamond is a horse who has had his jumping frailties over the years, but he would be long odds on in a race like this for ability alone. He showed more than enough at Galway, when falling at the last to assume he should win a race such as this. I still have it in my mind that this is a top animal and I can’t wait to take this race along the way to progessing. At a price of 11/8 with Paddy Power – I think he should win and it’s a good price.