WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an ante-post each-way selection for the Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket on Saturday 25th September.
|Eldrickjones||15/2||each-way (4 places)
Date of Tips: 10/09/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (07:56 10/09/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Alan King will have been doing his most elaborate rain dance if he was anywhere near Doncaster yesterday, and while it worked to a certain degree, with the track receiving 5mm of rain in a couple of showers, I fear it won’t have been enough to allow Trueshan to take his chance in today’s feature race, the Doncaster Cup at 2.40.
If another shower materialised, and it took any sting out of the ground, then Trueshan would be the bet of the day at 2/1. He is the coming force in the stayer’s division, and while still brilliant, the edge has just been taken off Stradivarius’ aura somewhat recently.
Again, today at Doncaster, I find myself only betting in one race – Cazoo Flying Scotsman Stakes at 1.40. It is a method that has yielded a 16/1 placed effort from the two bets of the meeting so far, so selectivity will hopefully yield a winner at some point this week.
Though, I did have a good look at Flying Childers Stakes, and was close to recommending both The Organiser and Chipotle, as I think they could be somewhat overlooked in the market. I have a lot of time for the favourite Armor however, and a combination of not being convinced about taking him on, and there not being enough juice in the prices in the ‘without favourite’ market, meant I’ve passed on that race.
Back to the Flying Scotsman at 1.40, and it’s a two-pronged assault I’m recommending, with the main selection being the 9/2 shot Ribhi, who is available at that price with William Hill.
There’s a number of unexposed and potentially exciting types in opposition, like Razzle Dazzle and Hoo Ya Mal, but when Marcus Tregoning has a 20/1 debutant winner, who defies what was a significant track bias the day Ribhi won at Salisbury, then you simply have to convince yourself that you’ve seen a potentially very good horse in action.
Drawn in amongst a number of rivals who have gone forward in their previous races, Ribhi could easily get a lovely tow into this affair, and will surely take a massive step forward from his debut, given the usual method of trainer Tregoning.
The each-way saver bet to have in the race is Roger Fell’s Eldrickjones, at 15/2 with Betfair Sportsbook, who are offering four places on the 10-runner affair.
Still a maiden after five starts, that by no means tells the whole story, as Eldrickjones has found himself on the wrong side of the draw in both the Coventry Stakes and the Gimcrack Stakes, and still showed enough ability to finish a very close second in the former, and a running on fifth (beaten less than 3 lengths) in the latter.
Sandwiched in between these runs, was a decent effort in the July Stakes, when he found things happening a little quick, and a forgivable poor run on soft ground at Goodwood.
A straight 7f on decent ground today will surely be to Eldrickjones’ advantage, and he has a great chance to break his maiden tag on this drop in class, and must be backed at 15/2 each-way in addition to the stand out 9/2 about potential superstar Ribhi.