WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith previews the action on Monday 25th October, and has found 4 EW selections across three cards.
Date of Tips: 07/07/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (10:04 07/07/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
It was another positive day yesterday at Roscommon as from three selections put up, we managed to secure two winners and a second. Neither Banbridge or Hallowed Star were fancies prices, but it was good to see them both deliver in the style that I hoped they might. I felt Call the Fairies was potentially on her way to making it a clean sweep from the selections, but after a slight mistake at the last – she was reeled in on the run to the line. Having put her up at 12/1, it was a case of so near but so far! I have had a long look at the card at Fairyhouse this afternoon and have decided to have a brief dalliance with the midweek flat action.
I have just the two selections for this evening’s card and both of them come at Each Way prices. I’m starting off by looking at the 6.25 – which is a 7 furlong maiden for three year olds and upwards. There are plenty of exposed types in this race and some that have probably failed to live up to, thus far, their regal pedigrees. Jeroboam comes into this race as a six race maiden, which is unusual coming from the Aidan O’Brien source. He has gone close a couple of times in maidens thus far, most notably when just edged out at Leopardstown last time out. He boasts a rating of 86, which sets the standard in a race of this nature, but one can’t help but feeling he is a tad vulnerable. At a price of 11/4 generally, I’d be inclined to let him win without touching that price.
Instead, I am looking to delve into the each way market in this race, with the Ger Lyons trained, Offiah, being my selection. This gelding is a five race maiden, but has some smart enough form in the book at the same time. His best effort was two starts back at Limerick, when just being reeled in with a half furlong to go over a mile. He disappointed last time out, which was a poor effort. However, I am willing to forgive the horse a bad run and he was hampered late on which exaggerated the losing distance. He now returns to 7 furlongs and handles a little bit of cut in the ground. Despite the ground still being advertised as ‘good’, there was plenty of rain yesterday around Ireland, and this might be something to bear in mind today. At a best price of 6/1 with Bet365 with 3 places available, I am going to hope he can return to form.
My second and final selection of the day comes in the following race, the competitive 7 furlong handicap at 6.55. There are 16 currently going to post in this race, and it looks a difficult race to solve on paper. Sh Boom is your 7/2 favourite, for the same connections of my previous selection, Offiah, but I couldn’t be backing her at that price. She has to prove that she can string two good runs together, which she hasn’t done for a while. In a race as tricky as this, I am more than willing to sway any horse at such a price.
I have delved right down the list this time out to find Juyush, for the impressive Sarah Lynam stable. This horse has been a revelation since joining this yard from Peter Fahey, registering three wins on the spin at Dundalk. Some might argue that he is a much better all-weather performer, however, I think that is a very easy assumption to make. This 6YO has shown more than enough on the turf to indicate that a win on this ground might be within sight soon enough. Having been a winner on heavy ground back in his French trained days, I don’t have any concerns over the good ground with a bit of cut in it.
Juyush ran a very encouraging race over 1m at Leopardstown at the start of the turf season, before two lesser efforts. However, one of those was over 1m1f at Leopardstown, where he doesn’t stay. He was in a better race than this last time at the Curragh. He showed up well for a long way that time over 1m before fading late under an aggressive ride. He steps back down to 7 furlongs this time round, which could be the making of him on the turf. He is currently best priced 20/1 with Bet365 for 4 places, but I am going to take the 16/1 available with Paddy Power, which locks in a fifth place for us on beneficial terms. Fingers crossed, he can run another fine race from the front.