WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an each-way selection for the 2.15 at Naas on Sunday 17th October.
|Still Standing||11/2||Each Way
2.38 Gowran Park
|Good Time Jonny||5/2||Win
4.23 Gowran Park
|Will You Win||20/1||Each Way - 6 Places
4.58 Gowran Park
|Hi Stranger||5/1||Each Way
5.33 Gowran Park
Date of Tips: 01/10/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (12:35 01/10/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Today marks the start of a new month, and with a new month comes new possibilities and a fresh start. After the Arc this weekend, it certainly comes into my mind that the jumps season will be well and truly starting and with the likes of Put the Kettle On and Abacadbras making their seasonal returns very soon, it highlights just how close the start of the proper jumps cards are. We go to Gowran Park today for a nice jumps card and despite it looking quite tricky, we will try to find a few horses that can run very well.
Starting with the 2.38, which is the 2 mile maiden hurdle. Plenty of these look somewhat exposed going into this contest, so it’s hard to know which one might just get their turn in front. The Greek and Lahinch Three have been consistent without winning in recent starts. The horse that piques my interest is Still Standing, who is making his debut for William Durkin after a very profitable time at the Jessie Harrington stable. He has won six times on the flat in his career, and was also a neck second in this race last year. If he returns to that form, he should take high rank in this contest with conditions to suit. At a best price of 11/2 with Bet365, he should be backed each way.
The 4.23 race is the 2m4f handicap hurdle on the card and sees a competitive field of 12 go to post in this contest. I have been a hostage to fortune with Good Time Jonny so far this summer and I am hoping that today might just be the day that he can recoup the winnings, and is sure to go very close. Having fallen at Sligo when backed off the boards, he was a very respectable third at Listowel last week in a much better race. He has been raised two pounds by the assessor for that effort and you do run the risk that this race is in quite close proximity to that race last week, but he should have a great chance at getting his first win over hurdles on the board. At a best price of 5/2 with William Hill, I am going to the well again.
The 4.58 is another 2m4f handicap hurdle and is for horses rated between 80-102. This looks a tough contest to get to the bottom of and another mare that I have put up a few times this summer is Will You Win, who tackles handicap company here off a workable mark of 93. She has been in decent form this season, with some okay efforts in maiden hurdles. A mark of 93 should be okay for this mare with Barry Browne taking another 3 pounds off her back in this competitive affair. At a price of 20/1 with SkyBet, who very generously are offering 6 places each way, I’ll take a risk on her.
The finale on the card at Gowran is the 5.33, which is a listed mares bumper over 2m and sees some really exciting prospects line up against each other. I think there is a part of me that wants John Kiely to have another good horse on his hands, and in the case of Hi Stranger, he may just have that mare. Having finished second on debut, she has gone on to win her next two starts in impressive fashion, lately under a winners penalty. She has to carry a penalty in this race, which will be difficult – but she should equip herself very well again with conditions to suit. William Hill are offering 5/1, which is an each way price I’m willing to play at.