I am steering well clear of any race with eight or nine runners in today, after the debacle of three of the last four selections being each-way bets that were either chinned by a lurker, or gubbed on account of non-runners. Witness the four or five minutes around Cherry Cola’s race at Brighton yesterday and you could well believe that we were under some kind of curse recently!
But you have to move on in life, and I’m certainly not dwelling or feeling sorry for myself…right now anyway. We have a busy busy Saturday ahead of us, and there were plenty of horses on the shortlist, but most of which are skinny enough prices, and have been found by the masses.
One horse who is still significantly over-priced however, comes in the 4.05 at Haydock Park – ‘Read Andrew Balding On Betway Insider Handicap’, and it is the Nigel Tinkler-trained Imperium Blue, who at 16/1 with Paddy power or Bet365 is huge each-way price.
If you were so inclined, you could also have a look at the ‘Pick Your Places’ tab on the William Hill app/website, as you can get 11/1 each-way about Imperium Blue for 4 places, or even 10/1 for 5 places. It is a brilliantly useful tool, and one which I regularly make use of.
It looked as if on yesterday’s evidence, it was beneficial to be in the middle of the track at Haydock Park, and given there is pace drawn all around Imperium Blue in stall 6, Faye McManoman could get a lovely tow into it over 6f here. Assuming the gaps appear and there are no traffic problems, Imperium Blue will be staying on strongly on this step up in trip.
Last time at York, which was Imperium Blue’s second start of the season, he was sixth at 50/1 – and on the face of it, you would be hard pushed to see his chance here.
But given it was 5f on fast ground at York, and Imperium Blue was stuck on the near-side that day, (which was the wrong part of the track for the whole Dante Meeting,) that he flew late on into the frame, and was only beaten 5¾ lengths, was a massive indicator that he was in good form.
The 4.05 at Haydock Park this afternoon is a step down in grade for Imperium Blue, and he has good form with plenty of juice in the ground, and is a great each-way bet at 16/1 with Paddy Power or Bet365, or even using ‘Pick Your Places’ with William Hill.