Horse Racing

Leopardstown – Thursday 7th July

Thursday 7th July 18:30

WhichBookie racing analyst Andrew Blair White provides a preview and betting tips for races at Leopardstown on Thursday 7th July.

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Bookie Selection Best Odds Market Bet
Howth 7/17/1 Each Way
6.30 Leopardstown
Place BetPlace Bet
Star Harbour 9/19/1 Each Way - 4 Places
7.30 Leopardstown
Place BetPlace Bet
Rosscabery 7/47/4 Win
8.00 Leopardstown
Place BetPlace Bet

Date of Tips: 07/07/2022

Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (10:43 07/07/2022) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.

A sluggish start to the month continued yesterday as there was no joy at Fairyhouse, where there were some surprise winners and some that I just did not see coming. I’m eagerly anticipating the return to Kilbeggan tomorrow night, but before then – Leopardstown holds center stage, and it is a good card this evening with some potential opportunities to have a play. Let’s keep the fingers crossed that they can run well and get us back in the game this month.

The 6.30 race is the 3 year old handicap over 1 mile and despite this race only attracting six runners to post, it is no easier to solve. Despite having to give some hefty weight away, I am quite keen on the top weight Howth in this race, who might be able to see this drop in class be the answer to his recent poor performances at a higher level. He was disappointing at Royal Ascot, after a good seasonal bow here over 7 furlongs and dropped into handicap company for the first time since winning a nursery last season. Despite being top weight, Killian Hennessey takes seven pounds off his back, which is very useful and gives him a chance to compete. At a price of 7/1 generally, he should be backed each way – despite there only being 2 places available. 

The 7.30 race is the feature handicap on the card and the Nasrullah is being run over 1m2f and has attracted a field of 13 to post. These are tough races but also ones I like to try and play at, as there are some improving types running against horses that set the standard on handicap form. I am going for a standard setter on this occasion and I am hoping that today might be the day for Star Harbour, who has run some big races in defeat already this season and looks ready to step back up to 10 furlongs today, after finishing well for third at the Curragh last time out. Returning to a left handed track should be of no issue, and in fact should be a help to him as he tends to drift a little left under pressure. If handling this step back up in trip, he should run well. At a price of 9/1 with Bet365, who are offering 4 places, he should be backed each way. 

The 8.00 race is the final selection of the day and it comes in the Stanerra Stakes, over 1m6f and this Group 3 contest has attracted some nice fillies and mares to compete. I felt really disappointed due to the disaster in the weightroom that meant that Rosscarbery was disqualified last time out at the Curragh, when running a massive race for us at a massive price. However, she is back in action this time around and if feeling no ill effects from that run, should take some beating in this race – as she has been in red hot form this season. Paddy Twomey is obviously opting to strike while the iron is hot so to speak, and to run here and try to procure a Group 3 prize when the horse is in such good form. I’m hoping there is some amends for connections tonight, and I have taken the 7/4 with Bet365 – to hopefully prove me right.

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