WhichBookie racing analyst Andrew Blair White provides a preview and betting tips for races at Lingfield on Friday 21st January.
|Chatham Street Lad||13/2||each-way
|Pretty Boy Floyd||11/1||each-way
Date of Tips: 09/10/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (18:47 09/10/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Without a shadow of a doubt, the most interesting race of Sunday’s action comes in deepest Devon a little after lunchtime, as Bravemansgame makes his chase debut up against the very classy Fusil Raffles and the promising, but until now immature, The Big Breakaway.
Quite who will come out on top just after 1.30pm tomorrow I wouldn’t be able to tell you, but if you told me I could only watch one race tomorrow, this graduation chase would be it.
However, I’ve got a couple of bets to be had on an eclectic Sunday, so will get cracking straight away with the JT McNamara Munster National at 3.55pm at Limerick.
Always a well contested race, this year’s renewal is a little low on quality actually and despite the big field, there are a few with little to recommend them. As such, there are two horses with plenty of upside and look as if they have been laid out for this valuable and prestigious race.
The first is Chatham Street Lad, for the ever-entertaining Mick Winters, who is 13/2 with William Hill for 5 places each-way, and should be clear favourite and somewhere nearer the 7/2 mark in my eyes.
A blistering winner of the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup, he then ran a cracker in the Marsh Novices’ Chase at the Cheltenham Festival earlier this year, when just lacking the pace of some on drying ground that day.
Since that assignment, his handler has given him a spin in a Grade 3 novices’ chase around the same course and distance as he will face on Sunday, and Chatham Street Lad duly won that doing handsprings.
There isn’t a horse in the race that has achieved anywhere near what Chatham Street Lad has, and the recent rain will very much aid his cause, so he must be backed at the attractive price of 13/2 each-way with William Hill.
If there was a horse in the race that could potentially one day have a CV as solid as Chatham Street Lad’s, it is undoubtedly the Willie Mulling-trained Ontheropes, who we last saw chasing home the mighty Monkfish in November of last year.
That wasn’t the first time that Ontheropes hinted at real quality, and he would rival Chatham Street Lad for me if I were to price up the race, and so he also must be backed at 15/2 with BetVictor for 5 places each-way.
One race later at Limerick, and there is another bet to be had at the mid-west track at 4.30pm in the Follow Limerick Racecourse On Instagram Handicap Chase. Rebel Waltz has only had two chase starts, and is now pitched into handicaps, but the form of his two beginners’ chases looks strong.
At 11/1 with Sky Bet for four places each-way, Rebel Waltz has a win in testing ground over hurdles at this time last year, and could easily prove to be a notch above this lowly 0-109 grade.
150km north-eastwards and a couple of hours earlier, and the other bet of an interesting Sunday will hopefully blast home in the Duralock Racecourse Fencing Handicap at 2.30pm at the Curragh.
Pretty Boy Floyd has the services of Colin Keane and a re-applied set of blinkers to aid his cause in the 5f sprint. What will also have aided his cause is the recent rain over on the Emerald Isle, and at 11/1 with Boylesports for 5 places each-way, he can add to his career tally of wins.
An eyecatcher against a couple of draw biases this season, Pretty Boy Floyd gets his favoured soft ground for the first time since he won at Haydock in back in May. Before that, he went close over ½ furlong further at the Curragh, and won twice for Colin Keane last backend.
Everything looks in place for a big run from Sarah Dawson’s sprinter, and at 11/1 with Boylesports, he is significantly overpriced.