WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an ante-post each-way selection for the Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket on Saturday 25th September.
Lingfield park 17.35
Lingfield park 18.05
Lingfield Park 19.35
Date of Tips: 06/08/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (20:37 06/08/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Having switched Saturday night’s WhichBookie-sponsored card from the waterlogged turf to the all-weather track at Lingfield Park, there is a slightly different feel to the races on offer, and perhaps not as much tried-and-tested all-weather form to ponder.
First up at 5.05, is an interesting 1m5f handicap for three-year-olds, and after a cracking first run for a new yard here on the turf 12 days ago, I was tempted by Epic Pass. But given the 1m5f start has a short run to the first bend into the straight, stall 7 of 7 is just a little off-putting.
So, for the first bet to be had on the card, it’s the whichbookie.co.uk Free Racing Tips Maiden Stakes at 5.35 that grabs the spotlight.
Three-year-olds Thunder Ahead and Ocean Wave have had six attempts between them at notching a win, and are yet to oblige. So, it’s the impeccably-bred Basic Beauty at 9/2 each-way with Bet365 who gets the vote.
She is a half-sister to three winners, most notably Setting Sail, and also both her parents were Group 1 winners at 1m or further, especially in the case of her dam who also won over 1m4f.
So, with all that in mind, that she showed up creditably on her one racecourse start to date when finishing midfield, over a painfully inadequate 7f at Newcastle last November, it is notable that the in-form Saeed Bin Suroor is wasting no time in stepping her up in trip, now Basic Beauty is in her four-year-old season.
The next contest – whichbookie.co.uk Bookmaker Reviews EBF Fillies’ Novice Stakes at 6.05, also has an appealing each-way proposition. With the five runners set to go to post, it is worth supporting the George Boughey-trained Mystic Wells at 10/1 each-way with Bet365.
On the face of it, the three horses ahead of her in the market appear as if they have achieved more on their respective runs to date, but I’d beg to differ.
In a strong and valuable fillies’ maiden at Newmarket’s July meeting, Mystic Wells did well to box on into midfield when drawn away from where the main action unfolded on the track that day.
The form looks strong too, as the winner has since run well in listed company, while the second, third and sixth have also won their next starts. The Newmarket race was over 6f too, and on pedigree and the way Mystic Well shaped there, it would suggest the extra 2f here will suit her down to the ground.
Trappy handicaps are the main fare for the rest of the card, but there is a sizable class-dropper to side with in the Henny Penny Nursery Handicap at 7.35.
Roccozaam at a general 3/1 is a snip on the evidence of his second nursery start since being gelded, in which he was a very creditable third in a 0-85 handicap.
He gets in to this event as top weight in this 0-65, over the same trip as five days ago. It is quite the class drop, and one that surely Roccozaam is up to taking advantage of from a decent draw in stall 5.