WhichBookie racing analyst Andrew Blair White provides a preview and betting tips for races at Tipperary today.
Date of Tips: 05/04/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (08:05 05/04/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Given it is Irish Grand National day, and that fact that today’s Redcar meeting is only the third of the burgeoning flat season, you might expect any daily selections to come from Fairyhouse, or even Plumpton or Chepstow over jumps on these shores.
It is a bit of an unwritten rule to steer clear of any serious bets so early in a season, but something sticks out quite significantly as a decent bet at Redcar today. The straight mile at the Teesside venue is an interesting track, and can often be defined strongly by track position biases, and given the proximity to the North Sea, prone to being buffeted by wind.
As any of you who have ventured out today already know, there is a strong and icy northerly wind, and that will blow almost exclusively down the straight mile at Redcar, so we are looking for horses that usually like to held up, or at least ridden with cover.
The ‘Join Racing TV Now Handicap’ at 2.50 at Redcar today, features a number of horses that are usually ridden from the front or at least fairly prominently, so with that and the wind in mind, it could be ripe for something to be produced late on, having been covered up early.
Danielsflyer, who is available at 11/2 generally, looks an appealing each-way option to take advantage of today’s set-up, as he is race-fit from an all-weather campaign, has good form on a straight track, will love the fast ground, and has a decent 2nd to his name on one of his two runs over 7f at Redcar.
No fewer than 7 of his 10 rivals are having their first run of the season today, whereas Danielsflyer has had six starts since a mid-winter break, and proved he was at his peak, with an impressive victory on his last start at Newcastle on the all-weather a month ago.
A 3lb rise for that win will in no way stop him from reproducing the same level of form, and he is still a good stone or more below his peak rating as a three-year-old. Danielsflyer was a classic case of a horse showing good early 2yo and 3yo form, to then be hindered by an inflated handicap mark for the next season or so.
Having dropped the weights, and as a now 7yo, he could easily be the type to run up a sequence, assuming his favoured fast ground prevails for the foreseeable, and at 11/2 each-way today, Danielsflyer is a great bet to back up his Newcastle win.
I can’t sign off without mentioning the Irish National, and favourite Latest Exhibition looks rock solid. Also, Off You Go could run well at a huge price, given he is related to previous Irish National winner Shutthefrontdoor, and could improve again for this test.