WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an each-way selection for the 2.15 at Naas on Sunday 17th October.
|She Is A Contender||9/1||Each Way
|Seattle Creek||6/1||Each Way
Date of Tips: 14/10/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (10:57 14/10/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Close but no cigar was the order of the day yesterday as we came quite close to having a decent day with Tommy’s Oscar, but he bumped into a racefit rival up the run-in and was unfortunately worried out of it. There is a mix and match of plenty of different cards today, and I have three selections overall from Tramore, The Curragh and Carlisle. Hopefully, between the three runners – we can have a bit of success.
Starting off in timed order, we go to Tramore first and their opening contest at 1.00. This 2m maiden hurdle doesn’t look like one of the strongest events on paper and is potentially there for an improver to take. With the favourite only rated 91 over hurdles, this looks like a prime opportunity for former Point scorer, She Is A Contender, to perhaps get herself off the mark over hurdles for John McConnell and Simon Torrens. Having been quite impressive in her point victory, she has disappointed on the track so far, with her three efforts being no more than satisfactory. However, her RPRs are still up with the best in this line up and she was well backed before her last run at Perth, in a stronger contest than this when failing to see out the 2m4f trip. This should suit a lot more. At a best price of 9/1 with Bet365, she is an each way bet.
Moving to the Curragh, which wouldn’t naturally be my first port of call on a fresh Thursday morning, but I can’t let a horse go unbacked in the 2.15 race, which is a 1m4f maiden. This looks to have a few disappointing horses at the top of the betting that perhaps can be taken on. I am going to do so with Seattle Creek, who looks a likely type back in maiden company after two very good runs for Luke Comer this year. Having run better than his odds suggested at Leopardstown first time up when a closing fourth behind The Mediterranean, connections threw him in the deep end of the Irish St Leger. He ran with credit in ninth and now returns to a more winnable opportunity. At a price of 6/1 with Bet365, he is another each way bet.
And finally at Carlisle I will be looking at the 2.30 race, which is a 2m1f novices hurdle. It’s going to take a leap of faith to back a horse who has fallen on three of his four starts over hurdles, but exceptions are being made for Malpas – who I’m hoping is the best of these and can stand up this time around to prove it. He fell twice last year when looking like winning maiden hurdles and despite the letter ‘F’ being so prominent beside his name, he is fundamentally not a bad jumper. This could be an ideal starting point for him and he gets weight from his main market rival from Ireland on this occasion, so there should be no excuses. At a best price of 15/8 with Bet365, I am hoping he can win.