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|One Fer Mamma||7/1||each-way
|Intoxication||9/1||each-way (5 places)
Kempton park 20.30
Date of Tips: 29/10/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (08:36 29/10/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
The rains have come – hallelujah! It means the awaited return of last year’s Grade 1 hero Ahoy Senor on his chasing debut for Lucinda Russell, and many connections that have been waiting for a bit of dig in the ground can now unleash their prized assets.
Wetherby today will be the main focus, given that fascinating novice chase at 2.05, and Ahoy Senor meets some serious opposition to test his immediate credentials over the larger obstacles.
But the rain, while allowing us the sight of some returning superstars, also has given us a decent betting opportunity in the Bet365 Novices’ Handicap Hurdle at 12.55, as there are a couple of overpriced horses on account of the initial market overvaluing the horses who want top of the ground.
I’m counting on ground nearing soft come race time, as there are another couple of mm’s of rain forecast on top of the 13mm overnight.
The first selection is the Stuart Edmunds-trained Grand Lord, who at 13/2 each-way with Bet365 is the main pick in the race, and will be much improved for his seasonal opener at Uttoxeter. Outpaced by the potentially classy The Bomber Liston, having raced prominently, it was nice to see him box on to claim second.
The profile of Grand Lord’s form last season suggested that he will be even better this campaign, as he is a big, stuffy sort, and he ran two huge races on his last two starts last season at Market Rasen and Wincanton. Every drop of rain will be to his benefit, and should be backed at 13/2 each-way with Bet365.
The other pick is one having his first run of the season, and so fitness needs to be taken on trust, but I can’t believe that given his very appealing handicap mark, that One Fer Mamma won’t be up to making good use of it. At 7/1 each-way generally, he is another one worth having on side in the race.
One Fer Mamma’s two hurdle starts were really eye-catching in above average maiden and novice hurdles behind some good horses, and Matt Sheppard has gone to the trouble of booking Sam Twiston-Davies, who is 4-22 for the yard.
Long after the jumps racing has finished for the day, there is another bet to be had in the ‘lucky last’, the Unibet Casino Deposit £10 Get £40 Bonus Handicap at 8.30, and despite Mark Usher having two in the race, including the ever-popular Bird For Life, it is his unexposed three-year-old filly Intoxication that is the pick.
Intoxication has only had 6 lifetime starts, and she has been improving rapidly, albeit at a lowly level, but given her third place finish over course and distance last time came in a grade or two superior to the 0-55 she now contests, she is a wild price at 9/1 with Sky Bet, who offer 5 places, to prove to be one of the only horses in the race open to improvement.