WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an ante-post each-way selection for the Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket on Saturday 25th September.
|Dubai Guest||11/1||Each Way
|Push the Tempo||15/2||Each Way
Date of Tips: 13/09/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (10:10 13/09/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
The old proverb muses that if you knock on the same door again and again, eventually someone will open it. That was the case yesterday at the Curragh, after a week of huff and puff, we finally got rewarded with a decent day. Let’s hope that now we’ve opened the door, we keep it that way and build up some momentum going into the backend of the flat season and the opening few weeks of the winter jumps season. With that in mind, there is no better place to start than Worcester – who have a lovely seven race card this afternoon with some good races on show for this time of the year.
Starting off with the opening race on the card, which is the 1.15 – and the first division of the conditional jockeys handicap chase over 2m7f. There are plenty of exposed runners in this line up and a few with very little chasing experience to their name. As a result, backing a horse in this contest requires trust and perhaps a small bit of delirium. As a result, I have plumped for Dubai Guest – who looks one of the more intriguing runners in this open field of 10.
Having shown promise over hurdles, he didn’t ever land a blow on chasing debut at Market Rasen and will have to improve greatly on that. There are grounds to suggest he might though, as this step up in trip may be able to get him into an early rhythm, which is so crucial in these events. Alongside that is the fact that he has been dropped five pounds for that effort, and his hurdles form would suggest he should be more than competitive off a mark of 91. All that taken into consideration, his price of 11/1 with Bet365 who offer the regular 3 places, might not be the worst value going around – and is taken to run a big race in this low grade affair.
The 2.50 race is one of the feature events on the card and this class 3 over 2 miles has attracted a small but select field of five to the post. Plenty of these arrive here in good form over the summer and some of them over course and distance as well. I won’t be siding with anything out of the ordinary in this contest, and will be taking Bathiva for the in-form combination of Fergal O’Brien and Paddy Brennan to register a third win in a row this summer.
Having won in a close call finish at Uttoxeter, he did it nicely over this C&D last time out when favourite, and despite going into a better class this time around – shaped liked a real improver. He has now won three from four starts for this yard and looks to have no end of improving still to do and at the age of seven – he should be able to go in again. With that in mind, the 5/2 available with Bet365 does not look like the worst price in the world, and should be taken to hopefully add another win to his CV.
The final selection comes from the 4.00 race, which is the 2m7f handicap hurdle and is another class 3 event on the card. There are again a lot of horses in good form going into this race at the top of the market. However, on this occasion I will be scouring a little further down the market to find Push the Tempo – who I would hope has a good chance in this race despite being off top weight.
Push the Tempo has a terrific record fresh and a lot of his previous form would suggest that this mark is definitely not out of reach at all. He ran a very solid race at the start of the summer at Market Rasen, when coming a close up second and has had wind surgery since then. You would hope that the surgery would allow him to come forward from that and make his presence known in this contest. He hasn’t tried this trip, but his style of running would suggest it should not be an issue. At a price of 15/2 with Bet365 for the even eight in the line up, I will be backing him each way.