Here you'll find football corners betting tips from our expert football analyst, Liam Johnson. All of the corner predictions published here on WhichBookie are 100% free.
Having gone to the well more times than can sometimes be the case from a midweek ante-post perspective, it has been a little difficult to find alternative Daily Value selections for WhichBookie now we come to Saturday.
Last night I was all set to recommend handicap debutant Warrior’s Destiny at a double figure price in the 4 Oaks Group Handicap Hurdle at 3.06 at Uttoxeter, but I’m kicking myself now as he’s a top price 5/1.
Instead, he’ll form part of today’s 1-star * Each-Way Lucky15, alongside a couple of the ante-post picks, and the horse I mentioned in WhichBookie’s preview video as the weekend NAP, in the shape of the sharply progressive Grand Geste in the Virgin Bet Great Yorkshire Handicap Chase at 2.05 at Doncaster.
The only extra bet I will be having today features an angle regarding one of the already advised ante-post picks, Gowel Road, in the Pertemps Network Cleeve Hurdle at 3.05 at Cheltenham.
An outright 18/1 is a scarcely believable price about last year’s winner, and as long as conditions don’t dry out too much then he must go well. I genuinely had him vying for second favouritism here behind this season’s 3m improver Impose Toi.
So, given Bet365 are offering 15/2 each-way for 2 places about Gowel Road in a market ‘without Impose Toi,’ that must be an additional advised 1-star * Daily Value selection today. Good luck!
12.05 Cheltenham – Novices’ Handicap Chase – 2m4½f
Course experience will stand CALIFET EN VOL in good stead here and the slower ground will be more suitable than he’s encountered so far in his two chase starts. His backform has suggested he’s a graded horse on potential and while he flopped at Aintree last season he was a 3/1 favourite for a Grade 1 who finds himself in a decent handicap here off a mark of 137. The Jack Richards in March looks a real option but historically the winner of that contest has fared well in here too. I’m happy to take a chance that he can go well here and Cheltenham Festival might be a consideration for after today’s race rather than before.
CALIFET EN VOL – 1 STAR WIN @ 4/1
12.55 Doncaster – River Don Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) – 3m½f
Belting race to kick things off with loads on interesting prospects. THE LAST CLOUD for Patrick Neville takes a big hike up in trip but has 2-mile speed and stamina in the family with Senor Chief as an Uncle. He’s a second season novice hurdler who ran on his second start at 3m1½f when he posted an RPR of 104, which was matched in his run after over 2miles which he’s flourished at this season. He was plenty keen in that race when held up and just slowly got left behind while looking like he was being taught to settle. 5 out from home he was barely asked for an effort, but was ridden slightly on landing after the 4th last and then moreso after 3 out but he was already 30 lengths adrift. He certainly looked like a stayer then despite it not being in the best company but he was in 3rd a Tolworth despite there being barely any hurdles and he was a close 4th in the Grade 2 at Cheltenhams October meeting. He might just be the type to take a swing at in here at a big price given he’s in receipt of 5lbs from Carlenrig but there’s a whole load of depth in this with the likes of Kicour La, The Price Of Peace and Country Code as probably the ones I like most of the rest.
He’s certainly one to keep a note of going forward I think though, and he was bought from the late Trevor Hemming’s dispersal sale which is a part of why he’s got the name THE LAST CLOUD. His trainer said he’d be going chasing but following two decent efforts in Graded company since I think they’ve decided to roll the dice at this trip to potentially pick up a massive pot rather than saving this distance for him in a lower grade handicap while trying to protect a mark. Cracking race and probably more of a token selection than anything with great confidence as this looks ultra-competitive and there could be some really decent horses in here
THE LAST CLOUD – 0.5 STAR EW @ 8/1 (4 places 1/5)
1.15 Cheltenham – Handicap Chase – 2m4½f
JAGWAR is the one to be on here, but equally his jumping and way of racing makes him unattractive to just keep following and with The spring Festivals just around the corner you wonder if today will be the day. That said, 57k to the winner of this, and it’s 84k in the Plate so while he might fancy trying to go back to back, this is a far easier assignment and if things falter for any reason he can try again back here in March.
I think he’s going to be trying for the best and he won on this meeting 12 months ago on similar ground, again on a day where people wondered if that was the time to see him shine and he still followed up in March. It’s also really hard to make a case for anything else in here although Uncle Bert was on my radar, but not since he’s been in a Welsh National which has confused me as to what they’re doing with him when his better form as it at about this trip. Triple Trade is a bit unexposed at this trip but on this ground I’d worry for him. Prairie Wolf might be the one to take advantage if the favs underwhelms as is weighted to at least run as well as Booster Bob who I’m not sure will thrive at this track. Also has form behind the likes of Thistleask and then won on his third run this season so certainly is in with a chance and might be the one for cover although Cheltenham probably his bag either.
JAGWAR – 2 STAR WIN @ 13/8
1.30 Doncaster – Yorkshire Rose Mares’ Hurdle (Grade 2) – 3m½f
JETARA is a law unto herself at times but was a solid winner of this 12 months ago after being unruly at the start so I think in this company she’s the one they all have to beat. I’m happy to side with her given she’s no questions to answer whereas some of her rivals certainly do
JETARA – 1 STAR WIN @ 3/1
1.50 Cheltenham – Cross Country Handicap – 3m5½f
J’ARRIVE DE L’EST has all his prior form on slow ground so was most likely to be the one from last December to be upgraded now looking at slower conditions. He’s 6lbs better off here too but with Final Orders who would have loved the good ground here before.
J’ARRIVE DE L’EST was well held last time but he’s got a big enough weight swing and ground more suitable to warrant the expectation he could reverse the form especially now with that experience under his belt. Connections might have one eye on March so that tempers enthusiasm slightly but he’s the only horse I’d want to side with in here.
J’ARRIVE DE L’EST – 1 STAR WIN @ 5/2
2.25 Cheltenham – Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) – 3m1½f
L’HOMME PRESSE is the selection in the hope he can back up last years win. He took all of the distance to get on top of Stage Star but he’s 3 from 5 at this track and all of his wins have come in single figure sized fields. He ran well in December with the 4th and 5th both winning since and I just think that with Grey Dawning looking exceptionally given this is a prep for the Gold Cup whereas L’HOMME PRESSE likely has this as his big aim. He’s the value in here despite being bottom of the weight adjusted ratings and despite his trainer being a long time since training a winner.
He loves this track, will love the ground and with Flooring Porter having to defy a near 500 day break and Spillane’s Tower only really have one career run to justify anything close to his current mark I think he’s the right horse to take on Grey Dawning, who would be the obvious winner, but only if he was fully tuned up for this and being ridden with complete intent.
L’HOMME PRESSE – 2 STAR WIN @ 11/2
3.35 Cheltenham – Cleeve Hurdle (Grade 2) – 3m
Trappy Cleeve Hurdle this year with question marks around the front two on the ground and the latter at this track but that means a horse like DODDIETHEGREAT might not have as much to find as it appears on paper.
He loves slow ground, he’s a Pertemps final winner who took a few starts to get going last season and might just have turned a corner so I think is worth taking a chance on at the prices
DODDIETHEGREAT – 1 STAR WIN @ 6/1
16.10 Cheltenham – Classic Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) – 2m4½f
This looks a nice race and the money for heads up looks entirely valid but he’s now reached a point at 2/1 he’s about where he should be. Act Of Innocence has stamina to confirm and Taurus Bay has two wins on flat tracks so I can leave him at 3/1 and under.
All these at the front of the market mean that KRIPTICJIM might just be massively overpriced in a first time tongue-tie as a horse who is very well regarded by his trainer. Following his Chepstow defeat he stated that he would win next time which he did, and that was followed up by another victory after. He does need to step forward on paper to win this, but as a Novice he’s entitled to do so and the application of a tongue-tie might signify a wind issue, but could also resolve that and I think conditions are in his favour to show his best. Hopefully that’s good enough to at least go close
KRIPTICJIM – 0.5 STAR EW @ 28/1 (3 places 1/5)
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