2.05 Ascot – Handicap Chase – 2m1f
It’s last years’ second ISSAR D’AIRY who I think I’m immediately drawn too. He qas 2lbs out the handicap 12 months ago and the same is true here but is 4lbs better off with Martator and while he was underwhelming after this race last season, he ran well first time up the season before when beating that same horse. This looks to be the time to catch him and I think he can be expected to at least hit the frame.
There have been some notable withdrawals since final declarations and I can’t really believe the price that ISSAR D’AIRY is currently available at, although continued market weakness should be noted.
ISSAR D’AIRY – 1 STAR EW @ 10/1 (4 places 1/5)
2.40 Down Royal – Champion Chase (Grade 1) – 3m
Envoi Allen is a 2 time winner of this race but he’s an 11yo now! Spillanes Tower might need slower ground so I think FOUND A FIFTY, with his stamina unconfirmed, looks tempting enough at the price.
We know Gordon has his horses firing from this time of year and he’s won his last three first runs for the season. He was a horse I liked for an Arkle the season where Gaelic Warrior took that race. Not literal form, but he’s now 3 mile bound for the season and FOUND A FIFTY has three wins at about the middle trip and was only beaten by I Am Maximus on soft who we know is a dour stayer. FOUND A FIFTY has also won on his first run for the last 3 seasons so we know he’s a horse who will be expected to go well fresh.
FOUND A FIFTY – 2 STAR WIN @ 4/1
2.57 Wetherby – Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) – 3m
Most winners of this race are aged between 6 and 9 although 10yo’s can win, but haven’t since 2004.
HEWICK is a king George winner, his form with Good in the description including and since that win are 1, 3, 3, 2, 1, 1. Two of the defeats came behind Fastorslow and Envoi Allen plus he’s has a decent prep run a couple of weeks ago so what’s not to like? Well, it’s his form left-handed that’s worth questioning. Those positive form figures came right-handed and while left-handed it doesn’t quite read so well he did win an American National in Far Hills that way round so it shouldn’t be enough to rule him out. Was of course second in last year’s down royal champion chase so they’ve opted for this easier assignment by design, that has to be noted.
HEWICK – 2 STAR WIN @ 11/4
3.10 Ascot – Lavazza Handicap Hurdle – 1m7½f
ALEXEI was a good second in the Welsh Champion Hurdle and I fancied the horse to go well in those conditions. Similar race here and off an unchanged mark means he’s at the top of the shortlist.
His first two stable spins at Taunton came on fast ground and after a long break which would suggest now is the time to catch him running well. A better jump at the last, last time out, may have been enough to put him right bang on the winner but I think he will travel well into things and hopefully get his head back in front
ALEXEI – 1 STAR EW @ 4/1 (4 places 1/5)
3.45 Ascot – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase – 3m
THE CHANGING MAN hasn’t finished progressing just yet and his course and distance win was still an incredible effort despite many of his rivals faltering in a small field. Another great effort was his second in the Ultima where he just bumped into one who snuck in down the bottom. Jumps better now and only 2lbs higher means he’s the correct favourite and the most solid option in this race for me despite his inclination to keep finding just one too good
THE CHANGING MAN – 2 STAR WIN @ 7/2
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