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3.13 Kempton – Snowdrop Fillies’ Stakes (Listed) – 1m
Survie has been running well in Group 1’s so despite this being shorter than her ideal trip, her class will see her run well and she’s 3 from 3 on the all-weather.
CATHERDRAL is another Filly who has been contesting Group 1’s however this is much more her trip, at least for a starting point this season. She posted a 110RPR and 117RPR for her new yard last season from 3 runs whereas Survie posted a 105RPR and 106RPR for her new yard.
I do see the race between the pair and 11/4 for CATHEDRAL looks the right play given this is more her trip and she’s shown on figures that she’s at least as capable as her main market rival.
CATHERDRAL – 1 STAR WIN @ 11/4
3.32 Doncaster – Lincoln Handicap – 1m
A big early season handicap which I typically like to profile the right type for given this is a big field race.
Easy way to bring my shortlist down from 22 to just 4 and I know I’ve been harsh on the draws but it’s food for thought as much as it enhances the claims for my form fancy in the race too.
Shout was the shortest price of the final 4 although he’s won at Doncaster over shorter, but I worry how keen he might be first time up over this trip.
TRIBAL CHIEF was a little unlucky in the Balmoral behind the likes of Shout when short of room from the back and the main players had already flown by then. He beat Treble Tee at Goodwood in August over a mile which I think is good form in the context of this giving him 1lb considering he’s rated 93 and I fancy Treble Tee to go well against Group 1 winners.
The other two qualifiers were Mirabeau who had now been gelded so is passed over and Urban Lion, who could be a pace angle on the high side but he was beaten by TRIBAL CHIEF at York in 2024 giving him 4lbs but under a 3lbs claimer, he has to give him 5lbs here so that’s another boost to my case for TRIBAL CHIEF
His trainer has won this race recently and has stated that he’ll be ready to go, he’ll just need some luck, but he also thinks he’ll land one of this big mile handicaps this season.
TRIBAL CHIEF – 0.5 STAR EW @ 12/1 (6 places 1/5)
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