Here you’ll find the latest horse racing tips from our expert racing analyst Will Smith. We provide 100% free racing tips for races taking place throughout the week as well as ante-post selections for future meetings.
Since the start of September, the yard of Lucinda Russell and Michael Scudamore have sent out 15 winners and have generally been ticking along nicely. Ask your average person on the racecourse how many of these winners have been over fences, and I bet the instant majority answer would be at least 7 or 8 of them.
It is in fact 2, and one of those was the sole finisher in a 2-runner contest. Most of their prize money earners this season have been novice hurdlers, and so the long-term future is certainly bright. The more immediate short-term future I think is also bright, as almost all the horses the yard has run over fences have strongly suggested they will be better for the run.
My hunch is that the later stages of November and the month of December will see a chunk of winners over fences, as the winter jumpers run themselves into fitness, and that trend can start today in the William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase at 1.30 at Aintree.
In fact, they may have had a winner or two at Kelso’s morning meeting by this stage, but the 17/2 each-way generally for 3 places about King Of Answers looks a tempting 1-star * Daily Value play for WhichBookie.
The market has too heavily skewed itself towards the chasing debutants from the impressive stables of Dan Skelton, Rebecca Curtis and Ben Pauling. Hidden History, Andy Amo and Champagne Twist may all be nice types, but will lack the race fitness and racecourse jumping experience that King Of Answers gained on chase and seasonal debut at Hexham a month ago.
If you delve into the hurdles form of the main players, then you can easily make a case for King Of Answers not having too many superiors in this race, and despite finishing 5th of 5 at Hexham, his jumping warmed up nicely as the race went on, and this strong stayer was closing down again at the line to only be beaten 5 lengths behind some speedy, good ground summer types.
3m1f on ground with some juice in it around Aintree will be ideal for King Of Answers, and in a race where the stable could have introduced Derryhassen Paddy, maybe it’s notable they are happy to rely on King Of Answers.
1.25 Doncaster – Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) – 6f
A decent enough sized field here with 13 runners declared but the eye is immediately drawn to a Group 1 winner from last season in MONTASSIB. He’s heading the market and if we’re being picky the draw could have been kinder than as high as stall 9 but that not enough to try and take this 7-year-old on with him in receipt of 5lbs from two of his biggest threats. Those threats are still officially rated inferior to him and while the volume of winners come from younger legs, 7-year-olds hold the highest winning strike rate at 22% and they’re profitable to follow blind.
MONTASSIB took the Cammidge here last March in similar conditions but under a penalty and his only run prior at the track was a shocker, but in a first time tongue tie which hasn’t been seen since. He was just 9/1 for the Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot last time out and while he wasn’t in the mix, it shows his class. James Doyle takes the ride for the first time which is a slight unknown given the bulk of this horses form has come under Cieran Fallon. But, he boasts a decent record over course and distance with him achieving 1.19 vs market expectations which makes him profitable to back blind.
Everything points to MONTASSIB having a massive chance in here including his form on soft ground which has produced 3 wins from 4 attempts with the defeat coming when 5th of 20 in the Group 1 Champions Sprint Stakes last season.
MONTASSIB – 2 STAR WIN @ 7/4
1.30 Aintree – Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase – 3m1f
The Skeltons have shown time and time again that they know how to target races and they’re capable of improving stable switchers so that’s a big boost to the chance of HIDDEN HISTORY in this contest. The brothers also have an impressive 25% strike rate with chasers debuting in handicaps for a 22% ROI to SP.
He’s now a 7-year-old but a lightly raced one with just 6 runs under rules with two of those coming for this new yard just last spring. He notched up back to back 127 RPR’s and is now officially rated 125 but there is much more to come from him now chasing and stepping back up in trip. Those two runs came at the middle trip but they proved his welfare and his ability to put his head down and battle through the line despite being nabbed late last time out. That defeat though came to the then 133 rated Rambo T who has won since and is rated 10lbs higher and the third has been raised after winning since so it looks strong from. Even the form of his stable debut before is looking good now with the runner up now 13lbs higher and was 3rd in a Listed handicap at the Punchestown festival.
Certainly a race with a few on the shortlist but HIDDEN HISTORY is right at the top of that list.
HIDDEN HISTORY – 2 STAR WIN @ 5/2
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On this page, you’ll find top racing tips from our expert horse racing analyst Will Smith, as well as selections from some of the leading national newspaper tipsters.
The racing analysts here at WhichBookie provide both win and each way tips.
With Extra Places available on several races each day from the UK’s top bookies, there’s often value to be had in each way betting on horse racing.
You’ll find each way tips for today listed above from Will Smith. The best each way bet for today will be listed as their ‘NAP’.
We don’t provide tips for every race televised on ITV but as we cover all of the major racing festivals, many of our tips apply to ITV races and our tipsters will often provide an in depth preview of each day of festivals such as Cheltenham, Royal Ascot, Good wood and Galway.
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Our horse racing tips will generally be either win tips or each way tips for ante-post and upcoming races. Occasionally, horse racing double tips may be available along with NAP of the day. We publish daily Lucky15 tips from UK and Irish racecourses and our tipsters have enjoyed some great success with these selections. You can check the performance via the individual tipster profile pages.
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Absolutely! In fact, you’ll often find our tipster Will Smith providing ante-post tips in the months leading up to the major festivals which can have a lot of value. Will has had great success at festivals such as Cheltenham and Royal Ascot by providing both winning ante-post and daily betting tips. Check out today’s Cheltenham tips for all selections from Will Smith & David Young.
We keep a record of all of the tips suggested by Will and a record of every tip he has published can be found on his profile page which can be found here.
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